Stowfly Logo

Black Friday Deals 2025: Expected Discounts, Retail Trends & Shopper Tips

Blog Image

Black Friday sales in 2025 will kick off on Friday, November 28, the day after Thanksgiving. This marks the official start of the shopping season when retailers across the United States launch their most competitive Black Friday discount offers of the year.

Start of Sales

Analysts expect that many U.S. retailers will begin Black Friday offers and promotions as early as mid-November or even earlier, continuing a trend that has gained momentum over the past few years (cross-border-magazine.com). These early deals are designed to capture consumer attention before the holiday rush and to help retailers avoid supply shortages.

Duration of Deals

The sales period is no longer confined to just one day. Shoppers can expect discounts to run through the weekend, with promotions reaching another peak on Cyber Monday, December 1, 2025 (thisoldhouse.com). Many online stores will extend deep discounts into the following week.

Sales Growth & Consumer Behavior

Black Friday 2024 Performance

Black Friday 2024 saw U.S. online spending reach $10.8 billion, representing a 10–11 % year-over-year increase. Globally, shoppers spent $74.4 billion during the event (cross-border-magazine.com).

Rise of Mobile Shopping

Mobile commerce dominated the event, with 70 % of purchases made via smartphones (cross-border-magazine.com). This shows the growing reliance on mobile-friendly platforms and apps for quick and convenient purchasing.

Growth of BNPL Services

Buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) services also saw strong adoption. In 2024, BNPL purchases accounted for $686 million in sales, helping consumers spread out payments for high-ticket items (cross-border-magazine.com).

Top Growth Categories in 2024

The categories that experienced the most impressive year-over-year growth were:

  • Toys (+622 %)
  • Jewelry (+561 %)
  • Appliances (+476 %)
  • Personal care (+440 %)
  • Electronics (+334 %) (cross-border-magazine.com)

Forecast for 2025

Looking ahead, analysts forecast that U.S. online Black Friday sales in 2025 will reach $12–12.5 billion, while global sales are expected to climb to $80–82 billion. Discounts are projected to average 25–30 % across categories, with TVs and tech products seeing cuts of up to 40 % (cross-border-magazine.com).

Forecasted Expenditure table 
         Indicator
                                      2024 Outcome/Trend
  2025 Estimate(approx.)    
               Evidence
U.S. online Black Friday sales
$10.8B (+10–11 % YoY)
$12–12.5B (+10–15 %)
Cross-Border Magazine
Global Black Friday online sales
$74.4B
$80–82B
Cross-Border Magazine
Mobile purchases share
~70 %
~73 % forecasted
Mobile trend
Average discount rates
25–30 % (Tech/TVs 40 %)
Same or slightly deeper

Historical trend
Fastest-growing categories
Toys, jewelry, appliances, personal care, electronics
Same trend expected
Cross-Border Magazine
Key brands
Pandora, Shark, Dyson, Nintendo, Ninja, Sonos, Apple(independent.co.uk)
Same + Amazon, Walmart
IndyBest


Top Product Categories & Example Deals

The following are early-listed or predicted deals for 2025 (thisoldhouse.com) (abt.com):

                         Category & Item                                    Features & Sale Insights                   Sale Price (Original) Retailer
Samsung 50″ Neo QLED 4K TV Neo Quantum HDR+, AI audio, anti-glare $1,100 (was $1,600) Samsung/Amazon
ClokoWe WiFi Projector 1080p, Bluetooth 5.1, portable, 100″ screen $123.76 Amazon
Honeywell HEPA Purifier Covers 310 sq ft, 3-level cleaning $178 (was $219.99) Amazon
Google Pixel 8 Pro 256GB Tensor G3 chip, adaptive battery $1,400 Amazon
Samsung Sound Tower ST90B 1,700W, LED lights, water-resistant $780 (was $1,200) Samsung
Skullcandy Crusher Evo Wireless, bass slider, 40h battery $139.99 (was $199.99) Amazon
Anker 10-in-1 USB-C Dock 100W laptop charging, dual HDMI $199.99 Amazon
Samsung Bespoke Jet Vacuum Stick vacuum, 210 AW suction, smart dock $500 (was $700) Samsung
Dreo Tower Fan Remote, 8h timer, 24 ft/sec airflow $69.98 Amazon
WONNIE Portable Blu-ray/DVD 14″ screen, Dolby surround $299.98 Amazon


Other Retailer Highlights (Abt, 2025):

  • Kitchen Appliances: Refrigerators, dishwashers, air fryers with 25–30 % off (abt.com).
  • Laundry Appliances: Washers/dryers, matching sets at 20–30 % off (abt.com).
  • Laptops/Tablets: Student-focused discounts expected (abt.com).

Top Brands & Categories

  • Electronics: Amazon Devices, Apple/Beats, Asus, Bose, Dell, Dolby, Fitbit, Google, Lenovo, Microsoft, Samsung, Sony, Roku (thisoldhouse.com).
  • Home & Lifestyle: Mattresses, Shark vacuums, Ninja air fryers, Lego, Nintendo Switch (independent.co.uk).
  • Discounts: 25–40 % for electronics/appliances; variable reductions for fashion & beauty (cross-border-magazine.com).

Shopper Tips for Black Friday 2025

Start early. Retail analysts expect major U.S. retailers to launch deals as early as mid‑November. Signing up for email newsletters or SMS alerts can provide early access to flash sales and doorbusters(cross-border-magazine.com).

Shop on mobile but compare prices. With about 70 % of transactions happening on phones, retailers will prioritise mobile apps and websites. Use price‑comparison tools like Camelcamelcamel or PriceRunner to track price history and avoid misleading “half‑price” (offersindependent.co.uk).

Use BNPL cautiously. Buy‑now‑pay‑later services contributed nearly $686 million to 2024 Black Friday sales and will likely be popular again. BNPL can spread out large purchases, but ensure you understand repayment terms and avoid overspending(cross-border-magazine.com).

Focus on trusted retailers and brands. The Independent recommends watching for deals from brands like Pandora, Shark, Dyson, Nintendo, Ninja, Sonos and Apple, with Apple deals often better on Cyber Monday at third‑party retailers(independent.co.uk). This Old House notes that top electronics brands (Amazon, Apple/Beats, Asus, Bose, Dell, Dolby, Fitbit, Google, Hisense, Insignia, Intel, Lenovo, Microsoft, Samsung, Sony and Roku) typically slash prices(thisoldhouse.com).

Watch for flash deals and limited‑time offers. Retailers may drop deeper discounts during limited‑time windows, especially on tech items. Start a list of desired products now and monitor prices frequently.

Avoid fake deals. Some products fluctuate in price all year(independent.co.uk). Compare across multiple retailers before committing to a purchase and verify that warranties, return policies and shipping costs are favourable(thisoldhouse.com).

Smart Tips for Shoppers to Protect Their Packages This Black Friday

Black Friday is one of the busiest shopping days of the year, but it’s also prime time for porch pirates. While the reality is that package theft has become all too common, shoppers are finding new ways to keep their orders safe.

Some choose to wait at home on delivery days, while others invest in cameras, lockboxes, or insurance. But there’s a simpler, more reliable option, package receiving services.

Why Consider a Package Receiving Service?

Package receiving services by Stowfly makes online shopping stress-free by letting customers ship orders to secure partner locations, often neighborhood businesses. Enjoy peace of mind with affordable subscription options, $7.50/month for up to 5 deliveries or $15/month for 15.

Stowfly was built not just to prevent stolen packages, but also to eliminate the frustration of missed deliveries and lost packages.

Grab our limited-time deal: get your first month free and discover how easy secure package deliveries can be at a location near you.

Conclusion

Black Friday 2025 is shaping up to be another record‑breaking event. Online spending is projected to surpass $12 billion in the U.S., with discounts averaging 25–30 % and tech items seeing reductions up to 40 %(cross-border-magazine.com). By starting early, focusing on trusted retailers and monitoring price history, shoppers can secure some of the year’s best bargains on electronics, appliances, fashion, beauty and more.

Shoppers who plan early, compare prices, and stick to reputable retailers will maximize their savings.

Visit this blog for all the details on the Black Friday Pre-Sale 2024, insights that can help you shop smarter this year.